Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 2 events · $65.9K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | No | 728 | 70.2¢ | $553 | Positive+$3.45 per $100 · 14,377 bets |
| EsperanzasDESTROYER0x2128…f203 | Yes | 828 | 27.8¢ | $199 | — |
| shoobadooba180x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | 300 | 37.7¢ | $72 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 80 | 75.9¢ | $61 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,027 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 168 | 28.8¢ | $40 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23 | Yes | 132 | 38.0¢ | $32 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 4,338 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.