Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 3 events · $72.6K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | No | 728 | 70.2¢ | $553 | Positive+$3.45 per $100 · 14,377 bets |
| EsperanzasDESTROYER0x2128…f203 | Yes | 828 | 27.8¢ | $199 | — |
| shoobadooba180x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | 300 | 37.7¢ | $72 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 80 | 75.9¢ | $61 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 168 | 28.8¢ | $40 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23 | Yes | 132 | 38.0¢ | $32 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 4,338 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 97 | 22.8¢ | $23 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 85 | 14.9¢ | $20 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 3,504 bets |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 76 | 20.7¢ | $18 | Losing−$4.13 per $100 · 12,719 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 71 | 30.9¢ | $17 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 20 | 86.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 50 | 20.0¢ | $12 | Positive+$10.52 per $100 · 10,908 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 13 | 75.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$7.08 per $100 · 225,283+ bets · updating |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 40 | 27.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| plafa.-90xd661…87c6 | Yes | 40 | 29.0¢ | $10 | — |
| pinner0xd886…1746 | Yes | 40 | 27.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xa6c6…3945 | Yes | 24 | 27.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | 20 | 27.5¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
| 0xa25b…65b3 | Yes | 19 | 27.4¢ | $5 | — |
| trrr120x184b…67b2 | No | 2 | 74.0¢ | $2 | — |
| KiruaTrading0xa7d2…f954 | Yes | 7 | 12.5¢ | $2 | — |
| bountyhunter0010x54d6…ef35 | Yes | 5 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| random-random1230xa1cc…fa62 | Yes | 4 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 0 | 28.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| tinyyyyy10x8467…d3ed | Yes | 0 | 26.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.