Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 80 | 96.8¢ | $76 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 783 | 13.1¢ | $41 | Positive+$3.45 per $100 · 14,377 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 20 | 77.0¢ | $19 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 12 | 81.8¢ | $11 | Losing−$9.18 per $100 · 190,902+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 154 | 15.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 97 | 20.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 2 events · $65.9K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.