Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 80 | 96.8¢ | $76 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 783 | 13.1¢ | $40 | Positive+$3.45 per $100 · 14,377 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 20 | 77.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 12 | 81.8¢ | $11 | Losing−$6.83 per $100 · 218,207+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 154 | 15.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 97 | 20.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 50 | 20.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 45 | 23.9¢ | $2 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 3,504 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 45 | 2.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 31 | 20.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 25 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 15 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 1 | 81.7¢ | $1 | — |
| rar1110x1bb7…543b | Yes | 5 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.24 per $100 · 241 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 5 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 98.0¢ | $0 | — |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 1 | 20.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 17.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 3 events · $72.6K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.