Market · 7 of 9 outcomes
Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 9 outcomes add up to 110.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 33 | 96.2¢ | $31 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,008 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 12 | 94.3¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,477 bets |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | Yes | 158 | 2.4¢ | $6 | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 115 | 9.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.60 per $100 · 123,566 bets |
| IUSEBOT0xf9ae…aaa3 | Yes | 50 | 8.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 45 | 8.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 3 events · $72.6K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.