Market · 8 of 9 outcomes
Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 33 | 96.2¢ | $31 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,008 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 12 | 94.3¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,020 bets |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | Yes | 158 | 2.4¢ | $6 | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 115 | 9.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| IUSEBOT0xf9ae…aaa3 | Yes | 50 | 8.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 45 | 8.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 30 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 23 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 20 | 3.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| LeChatonFat0x9629…ee15 | Yes | 20 | 22.0¢ | $1 | — |
| vlospa0x5814…cb14 | Yes | 15 | 11.1¢ | $1 | — |
| lifeisahighway0x6a5a…ac7d | No | 1 | 78.9¢ | $0 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 10 | 24.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | Yes | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 10 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | Yes | 9 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 3 events · $72.6K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.