Market · 8 of 9 outcomes
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pitosyflautas0x9f3e…5bc9 | No | 20 | 90.0¢ | $19 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 12 | 99.0¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 152 | 6.9¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 100 | 6.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| vlospa0x5814…cb14 | Yes | 80 | 11.0¢ | $3 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 40 | 11.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,278 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 9 outcomes add up to 111.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 3 events · $72.6K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.