Market · 8 of 9 outcomes
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pitosyflautas0x9f3e…5bc9 | No | 20 | 90.0¢ | $19 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 12 | 99.0¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,452 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 152 | 6.9¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 100 | 6.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.23 per $100 · 10,676 bets |
| vlospa0x5814…cb14 | Yes | 99 | 11.1¢ | $4 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 40 | 11.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,319 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 34 | 8.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| AlvisLi-FutureTopInvestor0x0cf8…180d | No | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 684 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25 | 9.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | Yes | 25 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb3ea…f8cb | Yes | 22 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 3 events · $72.6K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.