Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 5 outcomes add up to 101.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 4,364 | 91.5¢ | $4.26K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 1,033 | 95.2¢ | $1.01K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 529 | 97.3¢ | $516 | Losing−$17.27 per $100 · 7,271 bets |
| bluemangroup0xaabd…0992 | No | 400 | 87.0¢ | $391 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 255 | 92.3¢ | $249 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | No | 188 | 88.5¢ | $184 | Losing−$2.83 per $100 · 32,163 bets |