Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 4,364 | 91.5¢ | $4.26K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 1,033 | 95.2¢ | $1.01K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 529 | 97.3¢ | $516 | Losing−$17.27 per $100 · 7,271 bets |
| bluemangroup0xaabd…0992 | No | 400 | 87.0¢ | $391 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 255 | 92.3¢ | $249 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | No | 188 | 88.5¢ | $184 | Losing−$2.83 per $100 · 32,210 bets |
| RektCitys0x7f0c…f073 | Yes | 4,000 | 2.7¢ | $92 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 3,349 | 2.7¢ | $77 | Positive+$12.12 per $100 · 3,923 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | Yes | 2,500 | 5.0¢ | $57 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| polio1230x9906…c0ae | Yes | 2,474 | 2.0¢ | $57 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 58 | 97.5¢ | $56 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,907 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 50 | 98.0¢ | $49 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,851 bets |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 2,016 | 3.8¢ | $46 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| 0x22d8…a92b | Yes | 1,846 | 2.3¢ | $42 | New70 settled bets |
| Happydog20260x629c…2739 | Yes | 1,538 | 13.6¢ | $35 | — |
| feishen0x92bc…c8cd | Yes | 1,340 | 13.2¢ | $31 | — |
| Froxies0x828d…a9ea | Yes | 1,163 | 1.4¢ | $27 | — |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 1,000 | 11.0¢ | $23 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| Webb-On-The-Go0x4e87…179b | No | 21 | 95.2¢ | $21 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 698 | 20.0¢ | $16 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,872 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 600 | 10.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| Kutoba0x40b5…6b5f | Yes | 565 | 3.7¢ | $13 | — |
| rainy590xe858…5bc6 | Yes | 460 | 12.7¢ | $11 | — |
| Zgzwng0x9da9…e9c7 | Yes | 417 | 12.5¢ | $10 | — |
| confirmit0x9fc4…2f1c | Yes | 367 | 14.2¢ | $8 | — |
| henrytse0x658f…3c9e | Yes | 305 | 13.7¢ | $7 | — |
| heinrichmarloth0x765b…6bf8 | Yes | 263 | 13.9¢ | $6 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 262 | 3.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| paulgruber0xf477…7a3e | Yes | 243 | 2.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 230 | 20.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 30,816+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 222 | 2.2¢ | $5 | Losing−$8.60 per $100 · 29,951+ bets · updating |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | Yes | 200 | 14.6¢ | $5 | — |
| munchstein0x5fbe…2030 | Yes | 200 | 2.2¢ | $5 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 180 | 16.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | 160 | 11.7¢ | $4 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 150 | 10.3¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 150 | 2.2¢ | $3 | — |
| Poupoupluf0xb658…139e | Yes | 133 | 15.6¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 131 | 9.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$4.43 per $100 · 82,257+ bets · updating |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 3 | 93.3¢ | $3 | — |
| cocacole0xcad0…330a | Yes | 117 | 5.8¢ | $3 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 100 | 20.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| 0x0a38…f931 | Yes | 96 | 2.2¢ | $2 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 93 | 2.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| mengyangmy0xd3aa…134a | Yes | 83 | 12.5¢ | $2 | — |
| zeitfi-vault-v20x6ae0…b747 | Yes | 80 | 2.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe600…a907 | No | 2 | 98.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 2 | 98.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 31gbtc0xea9d…2ea8 | Yes | 67 | 12.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 53 | 8.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 52 | 6.1¢ | $1 | — |
| tspmoicl0x41ff…af0b | Yes | 50 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7fb…f458 | Yes | 50 | 6.3¢ | $1 | — |
| dorrisankunda0xdf45…a73e | No | 1 | 91.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Geraldcr350x9c18…3839 | Yes | 45 | 2.3¢ | $1 | — |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 43 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| ppaolo26110x6aca…cbe9 | Yes | 38 | 2.7¢ | $1 | — |
| x1alpha0xef2c…9099 | Yes | 38 | 13.6¢ | $1 | — |
| ostralman0xc3f3…142d | Yes | 36 | 2.9¢ | $1 | — |
| noblesse.oblige0x24d2…1472 | Yes | 33 | 15.6¢ | $1 | — |
| IamIsaacNewton0x4a54…e1dd | Yes | 33 | 6.3¢ | $1 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 1 | 91.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| LarBotPrime0x32fd…5c8b | No | 1 | 88.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | 1 | 97.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Hugo4594400x880d…adb6 | Yes | 27 | 9.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5d66…9fa3 | Yes | 21 | 14.6¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 98.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 86.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.19 per $100 · 86,515+ bets · updating |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LA170xf6ea…0a00 | No | 0 | 85.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 420 bets |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 0 | 96.2¢ | $0 | — |
| UTILIZADOR20xba6c…618b | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.