Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 5 outcomes add up to 102.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bigdickprick0x8735…46e5 | Yes | 8,159 | 2.1¢ | $159 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | No | 70 | 97.9¢ | $69 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d |
| Yes |
| 2,100 |
| 1.9¢ |
| $41 |
| Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,928 bets |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | Yes | 1,610 | 1.8¢ | $31 | Proven+$7.03 per $100 · 1,581 bets |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 1,468 | 1.7¢ | $29 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| 0xc8cd…7405 | Yes | 1,365 | 2.2¢ | $27 | — |