Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 584 | 97.5¢ | $573 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| bigdickprick0x8735…46e5 | Yes | 8,159 | 2.1¢ | $151 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | No | 120 | 98.0¢ | $118 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| mataaiaproasta0x87e6…882e | Yes | 2,138 | 2.5¢ | $40 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 2,100 | 1.9¢ | $39 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,933 bets |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | Yes | 1,610 | 1.8¢ | $30 | Proven+$7.03 per $100 · 1,581 bets |
| 0xc8cd…7405 | Yes | 1,365 | 2.2¢ | $25 | — |
| ASportGuy0x22cf…a9de | Yes | 1,000 | 1.6¢ | $19 | — |
| mzm4340xed5d…b81f | Yes | 968 | 2.7¢ | $18 | — |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 700 | 1.7¢ | $13 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,980 bets |
| 0xdeda…10cc | Yes | 666 | 1.6¢ | $12 | — |
| alboun0x3866…0ad7 | No | 10 | 98.6¢ | $10 | — |
| xiongri03230x6fef…bfb4 | No | 10 | 98.6¢ | $10 | — |
| laochen5km0x70c4…4546 | No | 10 | 98.6¢ | $10 | — |
| chuifengpashan0xcd8f…29dd | No | 10 | 98.6¢ | $10 | — |
| Yasen0x24c5…e032 | Yes | 527 | 3.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Kutoba0x40b5…6b5f | Yes | 400 | 2.0¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.59 per $100 · 606 bets |
| lvscool0xf4d7…8e61 | Yes | 336 | 3.1¢ | $6 | — |
| aichuangfu0xfdf5…d359 | Yes | 334 | 3.1¢ | $6 | — |
| alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99 | Yes | 290 | 4.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 66,345 bets |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 98.3¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 250 | 1.8¢ | $5 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| No-risk-no-bisc0xb7c0…e24e | Yes | 200 | 1.5¢ | $4 | — |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 182 | 20.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 150 | 1.4¢ | $3 | — |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | No | 3 | 95.4¢ | $3 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 116 | 20.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 100 | 20.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 27,486 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 100 | 1.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| YaMaGo4i0xc4e9…795d | Yes | 100 | 1.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe600…a907 | No | 2 | 98.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 2 | 98.9¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 789 bets |
| PauloCVSilva0xad42…fe63 | Yes | 77 | 3.2¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 59 | 13.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 1 | 98.3¢ | $1 | — |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 53 | 13.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| bigJilm0x824f…8b56 | Yes | 53 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 40 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 1 | 98.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,694 bets |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | 1 | 98.7¢ | $1 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 32 | 3.3¢ | $1 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 30 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 25 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 24 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0xcaf1…8a32 | Yes | 22 | 4.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 22 | 20.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 21 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 13 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 10 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 98.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 98.3¢ | $0 | — |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | No | 0 | 98.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 4 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 1 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.