Market · 2 of 13 outcomes
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 16:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 13 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
1 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 26,910 | 85.3¢ | $26.4K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| 0xheavy8880xec98…afcd | No | 15,000 | 90.0¢ | $14.7K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| baran-ludoman0xc0bf…2032 | No | 8,081 | 74.0¢ | $7.94K | Proven+$11.48 per $100 · 198 bets |
| 0x328a…30c9 | No | 3,964 | 84.6¢ | $3.89K | Proven+$11.75 per $100 · 192 bets |
| DrNee0xba62…58e9 | No | 2,148 | 93.1¢ | $2.11K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 331 bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 1,709 | 86.5¢ | $1.68K | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |