Market · 2 of 13 outcomes
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 13 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 26,910 | 85.3¢ | $26.4K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| 0xheavy8880xec98…afcd | No | 15,000 | 90.0¢ | $14.7K | Positive+$1.09 per $100 · 17,528 bets |
| baran-ludoman0xc0bf…2032 | No | 8,081 | 74.0¢ | $7.94K | Proven+$11.48 per $100 · 198 bets |
| 0x328a…30c9 | No | 3,964 | 84.6¢ | $3.89K | Proven+$11.75 per $100 · 192 bets |
| DrNee0xba62…58e9 | No | 2,148 | 93.1¢ | $2.11K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 331 bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 1,709 | 86.5¢ | $1.68K | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| Odysseus.0x60ab…3206 | Yes | 92,389 | 22.3¢ | $1.66K | — |
| spec-tater0xf70e…97f0 | No | 1,493 | 91.4¢ | $1.47K | — |
| fur-fox0x03d5…97af | Yes | 80,357 | 11.8¢ | $1.45K | — |
| 0x96fc…cf38 | No | 1,377 | 98.2¢ | $1.35K | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 1,371 | 71.0¢ | $1.35K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0x656b…0dc1 | No | 1,363 | 98.4¢ | $1.34K | — |
| 0x64c8…4bb8 | No | 1,222 | 98.2¢ | $1.2K | — |
| 0x4612…7784 | No | 1,024 | 98.8¢ | $1.01K | — |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | No | 1,000 | 88.0¢ | $982 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| NewNameWhoThis0xa37a…a9e7 | No | 1,000 | 86.0¢ | $982 | — |
| 0x627c…081e | No | 918 | 70.0¢ | $901 | — |
| 0xe887…c1ad | No | 873 | 73.0¢ | $857 | — |
| hippoka0xdd9c…31a0 | Yes | 46,877 | 13.0¢ | $844 | New77 settled bets |
| -ojoker-0x0c7e…437f | Yes | 46,319 | 7.0¢ | $834 | — |
| 0x54b9…3a09 | No | 844 | 76.0¢ | $829 | — |
| 0x5e76…e8e2 | No | 836 | 99.0¢ | $821 | — |
| 0x4312…e301 | No | 822 | 98.2¢ | $808 | — |
| 0x1933…8b18 | No | 734 | 98.2¢ | $721 | — |
| CoreWriter0xa56c…a440 | No | 720 | 82.7¢ | $707 | — |
| 0x71e1…45f0 | No | 716 | 70.4¢ | $703 | Proven+$4.44 per $100 · 735 bets |
| 0xed40…2445 | No | 707 | 98.1¢ | $694 | — |
| shrewsenhower0x7447…920d | Yes | 38,033 | 15.0¢ | $685 | — |
| 0x8686…a246 | No | 685 | 99.0¢ | $673 | — |
| tnl0xb619…5068 | No | 680 | 83.0¢ | $667 | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,242 bets |
| 0x5dcd…0634 | No | 665 | 73.0¢ | $653 | — |
| 0x518e…d640 | No | 645 | 74.0¢ | $634 | — |
| 0xfaa8…2e39 | No | 643 | 98.3¢ | $632 | — |
| zhenheng0x9109…688a | Yes | 33,976 | 1.5¢ | $612 | — |
| 0xd2f0…d3c9 | No | 617 | 98.4¢ | $606 | — |
| 0x3201…58a7 | No | 614 | 98.1¢ | $603 | — |
| 0xb14f…0b38 | No | 565 | 98.2¢ | $555 | — |
| 0x484a…52c9 | No | 565 | 99.0¢ | $555 | — |
| 0x66c5…e503 | No | 550 | 99.0¢ | $541 | — |
| 0xA770xa774…d9af | Yes | 29,630 | 17.4¢ | $533 | — |
| Aluluba0x0921…4aaf | Yes | 29,351 | 14.3¢ | $528 | — |
| 0xdac2…db56 | No | 530 | 98.3¢ | $521 | — |
| 0xcd4c…98e3 | No | 523 | 86.0¢ | $514 | — |
| DenisBr0xcced…226b | Yes | 26,735 | 16.2¢ | $481 | — |
| fafafafafafafafsadasdq0xd798…f8bc | Yes | 26,666 | 7.1¢ | $480 | — |
| 0x0c21…2a53 | Yes | 26,265 | 17.0¢ | $473 | — |
| 0x1a3d…cce4 | No | 463 | 98.5¢ | $455 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 24,018 | 10.2¢ | $432 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| 0x3c5a…fa9d | No | 439 | 98.2¢ | $431 | — |
| iuygfyu0x5af0…a793 | No | 400 | 86.0¢ | $393 | — |
| LuckyBaskar0xf933…4069 | Yes | 21,746 | 1.8¢ | $391 | — |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 21,503 | 6.4¢ | $387 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 20,020 | 6.2¢ | $360 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| asghvh0x6141…03b5 | No | 360 | 87.6¢ | $354 | — |
| uyflji0xe817…f6bf | No | 350 | 86.0¢ | $344 | New8 settled bets |
| jgfvjl0xd782…768b | No | 340 | 86.0¢ | $334 | — |
| ytdci0x6793…e3c5 | No | 330 | 86.0¢ | $324 | — |
| Ferwhere0x152f…a549 | Yes | 17,918 | 5.8¢ | $323 | Positive+$68.55 per $100 · 157 bets |
| kgrjbuo0xe544…3028 | No | 320 | 86.0¢ | $314 | — |
| snoozer0x36f4…ab1e | Yes | 17,039 | 2.1¢ | $307 | — |
| nuyfuy0x85c1…e110 | No | 300 | 86.0¢ | $295 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 15,993 | 3.5¢ | $288 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| bfr76kbclop0xe9f3…c1ab | No | 293 | 87.6¢ | $288 | — |
| 0x7720…e75d | No | 291 | 98.1¢ | $286 | — |
| peenman0x40d8…9fda | No | 271 | 86.3¢ | $266 | — |
| XCaptainTitan0xd7a1…77ab | No | 236 | 87.0¢ | $232 | — |
| Doormat9860xfe72…c936 | Yes | 12,216 | 5.7¢ | $220 | — |
| 0x2eae…a25f | Yes | 11,473 | 1.2¢ | $207 | — |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 11,230 | 11.4¢ | $202 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| farmyboi0x1823…84d8 | Yes | 10,939 | 19.6¢ | $197 | New11 settled bets |
| 0x6b2f…d452 | No | 195 | 76.0¢ | $191 | — |
| 0xabbf…18be | Yes | 10,004 | 11.7¢ | $180 | — |
| echk0x8fd4…aba5 | Yes | 10,000 | 16.4¢ | $180 | New76 settled bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 9,400 | 6.7¢ | $169 | Losing−$5.17 per $100 · 30,004+ bets · updating |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 9,312 | 5.7¢ | $168 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| dwk880x1f42…6892 | Yes | 9,067 | 1.9¢ | $163 | — |
| Zzzz870x2117…5c26 | Yes | 9,000 | 8.1¢ | $162 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 9,454 bets |
| zzaqq20xd331…733c | Yes | 8,511 | 12.4¢ | $153 | Losing−$9.72 per $100 · 4,328 bets |
| Magestictrader0x709b…0a0a | Yes | 7,705 | 14.5¢ | $139 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 7,679 | 4.4¢ | $138 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| Cutesesi69690x638e…2540 | Yes | 7,500 | 8.4¢ | $135 | — |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 5,650 | 6.5¢ | $102 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 5,389 | 15.5¢ | $97 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| MeiZzzi0x02f0…1a03 | Yes | 5,340 | 0.9¢ | $96 | — |
| LA170xf6ea…0a00 | Yes | 5,334 | 7.8¢ | $96 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 420 bets |
| fireponbabylon0xa667…84fe | Yes | 5,291 | 5.2¢ | $95 | Positive+$2.51 per $100 · 1,399 bets |
| pp1010x7f33…914e | Yes | 5,136 | 13.0¢ | $92 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 2,133 bets |
| 0x7ee7…17b0 | Yes | 5,000 | 14.6¢ | $90 | — |
| 0x1dc6…fb06 | Yes | 4,974 | 12.8¢ | $90 | Proven+$2.01 per $100 · 366 bets |
| A-Task170xd5e2…6078 | Yes | 4,900 | 10.4¢ | $88 | — |
| MarvelFan940x0978…00e6 | Yes | 4,731 | 6.8¢ | $85 | Break-even−$0.34 per $100 · 648 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 4,675 | 4.4¢ | $84 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| 0xdcdd…73a5 | Yes | 4,631 | 11.3¢ | $83 | Losing−$8.96 per $100 · 599 bets |
| Election20240x1958…310b | Yes | 4,618 | 7.3¢ | $83 | — |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | Yes | 4,421 | 1.3¢ | $80 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
| 0x8cfe…ce60 | Yes | 4,413 | 10.0¢ | $79 | — |
| MrZender0x851b…13c4 | Yes | 4,382 | 21.7¢ | $79 | — |
| onepingonly0x950e…f8e5 | Yes | 4,019 | 24.9¢ | $72 | New11 settled bets |
| methodnumber80x6cc3…36b2 | Yes | 3,986 | 5.5¢ | $72 | — |
| 0xdb03…e8d9 | No | 54 | 98.3¢ | $53 | New5 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.