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Topic · Geopolitics
12 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.4% of Polymarket
Events · markets
3 · 12
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
3 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Nov 1
in 21 days
Biggest first · chance of Yes
| Market | Event | Chance | This week | Ends | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? | 15.5¢ | down 2 points this week | Jan 1 | $0.67M |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:23 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| October 31 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? |
| 6.5¢ |
| down 1.5 points this week |
| Nov 1 |
| $0.51M |
| 25-29 | Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October? | 51.0¢ | down 1.5 points this week | Nov 1 | $3.4K |
| <20 | Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October? | 14.0¢ | up 2 points this week | Nov 1 | $1.8K |
| 30-34 | Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October? | 13.5¢ | up 0.5 points this week | Nov 1 | $1.7K |
| 20-24 | Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October? | 19.0¢ | down 3 points this week | Nov 1 | $1.7K |
| 35+ | Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October? | 0.1¢ | down 0.2 points this week | Nov 1 | $1.1K |
| <170 | How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12? | 35.5¢ | – | Oct 19 | $484 |
| 230+ | How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12? | 17.5¢ | – | Oct 19 | $262 |
| 190-209 | How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12? | 17.0¢ | – | Oct 19 | $187 |
| 170-189 | How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12? | 21.0¢ | – | Oct 19 | $124 |
| 210-229 | How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12? | 12.0¢ | – | Oct 19 | $39 |