Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 5 outcomes add up to 101.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaxVision0x5be9…9106 | No | 1,696 | 92.9¢ | $1.69K | Positive+$12.04 per $100 · 196 bets |
| browne0xbf96…9942 | No | 118 | 92.2¢ | $118 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 5 | 86.7¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 3 | 94.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| 0xe432…934a | Yes | 667 | 5.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 3,790 bets |
| blahuncblah0x4225…c771 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |