Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaxVision0x5be9…9106 | No | 1,696 | 92.9¢ | $1.69K | Positive+$9.90 per $100 · 197 bets |
| browne0xbf96…9942 | No | 118 | 92.2¢ | $118 | Proven+$2.85 per $100 · 304 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 5 | 86.7¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 3 | 94.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| 0xe432…934a | Yes | 667 | 5.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 3,790 bets |
| blahuncblah0x4225…c771 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 237 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$60.07 per $100 · 7,844 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 220 | 7.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 200 | 3.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 150 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 136 | 12.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| LovelyPanda0x2ccf…5f6a | Yes | 136 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3a9d…f332 | Yes | 111 | 7.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 102 | 5.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 100 | 7.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 74 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| helic0pter0x4b3e…cfae | Yes | 60 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd487…a674 | Yes | 25 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 20 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 15 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 10 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 10 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| ramc20050x57a8…d092 | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.