Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 5 outcomes add up to 113.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 70 | 83.6¢ | $55 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 153 | 18.4¢ | $32 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 35 | 82.1¢ | $28 | — |
| 0xa169…1b73 | No | 20 | 79.0¢ | $16 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 20 | 82.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| quine-zyx0x46d7…0eb4 | Yes | 67 | 15.0¢ | $14 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.