Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 5 outcomes add up to 85.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 85 | 11.1¢ | $19 | Losing−$2.56 per $100 · 124,139 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 30 | 21.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.