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Topic · Geopolitics
12 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.4% of Polymarket
Events · markets
3 · 12
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
3 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Nov 1
in 20 days
Proven traders lean No on December 31 · 3 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 7 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Renan20300x88c4…129a | No on December 31 | $98.8K | Proven+$11.66 per $100 · 471 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:39 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| hymolu0x17e3…9ba5 |
| No on October 31 |
| $90.5K |
| New70 bets |
| 657657570x2974…9c23 | No on December 31 | $83.1K | Proven+$6.14 per $100 · 376 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | December 31 | $49.3K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| Tigerofthehood0x9c26…74bc | No on October 31 | $45.3K | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 237 bets |
| megaforest0xe172…e8e0 | No on October 31 | $38.5K | New64 bets |
| DiaMat0x5ff7…f7f0 | No on October 31 | $38.4K | New96 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No on December 31 | $37.1K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,390 bets |
| tennisclub0x479d…d469 | No on October 31 | $36.3K | New40 bets |
| mr.ozi0x614d…1546 | No on December 31 | $33.4K | Proven+$4.92 per $100 · 2,289 bets |
| zthunderfury0xc682…17bb | No on October 31 | $29.6K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 497 bets |
| Alpheo0x7eaa…fd24 | No on October 31 | $28.0K | New38 bets |
| sabsabinxz0xd3ec…6603 | No on October 31 | $25.8K | Proven+$23.86 per $100 · 101 bets |
| Kevindoto0xcd71…d127 | No on December 31 | $25.1K | Proven+$4.55 per $100 · 728 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No on October 31 | $21.7K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 777 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | No on December 31 | $20.1K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| Bukaj08890x5be7…1b1d | No on October 31 | $15.3K | Positive+$1.97 per $100 · 244 bets |
| nedsta0xf92a…a517 | No on October 31 | $15.2K | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 466 bets |
| agagyu0x2136…ee56 | No on December 31 | $13.8K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 178 bets |
| Jest550xd34b…0004 | No on October 31 | $13.3K | Proven+$5.67 per $100 · 2,686 bets |
| apmt0x328d…f7a9 | No on December 31 | $11.9K | Proven+$9.98 per $100 · 114 bets |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | December 31 | $11.7K | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | December 31 | $11.7K | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| marchonnow0xfc04…4f75 | No on October 31 | $10.8K | Break-even+$0.10 per $100 · 196 bets |
| gosouth0x1a24…c5dc | No on October 31 | $9.5K | New15 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.