Market · 3 of 21 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 2,902 | 9.4¢ | $112 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 2,576 | 3.0¢ | $99 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 47 | 90.0¢ | $46 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 96.3¢ | $38 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,869 bets |
| 0xa169…1b73 | No | 39 | 96.9¢ | $38 | — |
| poposd0xf512…0985 | No | 35 | 95.0¢ | $34 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 104.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $832K in play
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.