Market · 11 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 103.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SupercubPA180x19a4…fa7a | No | 460 | 94.3¢ | $455 | Break-even−$0.61 per $100 · 416 bets |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 442 | 98.7¢ | $437 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,842 bets |
| str-10000xf1de…6329 | No | 218 | 97.5¢ | $215 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 11,615 | 3.7¢ | $122 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 120 | 94.4¢ | $119 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| jooker20260x276a…d445 | No | 100 | 94.3¢ | $99 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.