Market · 10 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| miaoa10x2a3e…5190 | No | 2,000 | 98.8¢ | $1.98K | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 1,001 | 99.1¢ | $990 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,848 bets |
| SupercubPA180x19a4…fa7a | No | 460 | 94.3¢ | $455 | Break-even−$0.53 per $100 · 417 bets |
| str-10000xf1de…6329 | No | 218 | 97.5¢ | $215 | — |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 12,647 | 1.1¢ | $145 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 11,615 | 3.7¢ | $134 | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 2,223 bets |
| jooker20260x276a…d445 | No | 100 | 94.3¢ | $99 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 82 | 98.9¢ | $81 | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $58 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 50 | 97.7¢ | $49 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 27,486 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 4,200 | 1.7¢ | $48 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 4,000 | 2.0¢ | $46 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 4,037 bets |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 2,000 | 2.0¢ | $23 | — |
| txp111.0xaa7e…0332 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.9¢ | $23 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 1,786 | 3.8¢ | $21 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| rocky420080x79dc…ca77 | No | 20 | 96.7¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 5,355 bets |
| Horialuca0x5e0f…c18c | Yes | 1,500 | 1.0¢ | $17 | — |
| orifcontex0xa002…e840 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.1¢ | $17 | — |
| gordontradedc0x04a2…e16c | Yes | 1,491 | 3.8¢ | $17 | — |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 1,465 | 5.8¢ | $17 | Proven+$12.04 per $100 · 581 bets |
| dafa110x3b87…d3f5 | No | 12 | 96.2¢ | $12 | — |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 12 | 98.4¢ | $12 | — |
| Romeo0050x146d…17c7 | Yes | 1,041 | 1.5¢ | $12 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 1,000 | 3.9¢ | $12 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 1,000 | 1.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $12 | — |
| flin16790830x7163…3eeb | No | 10 | 98.9¢ | $10 | — |
| Melao0x48a3…bfec | Yes | 520 | 3.0¢ | $6 | — |
| TP19950xc575…38fd | Yes | 500 | 4.0¢ | $6 | — |
| LuckyMANNN0x59a1…a8d1 | Yes | 455 | 2.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Fablurou0x3256…830c | Yes | 400 | 3.3¢ | $5 | — |
| bibbi0x5312…9e9b | Yes | 300 | 1.2¢ | $3 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 289 | 3.8¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 282 | 4.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Greedtookover0x3fcc…5c9b | Yes | 270 | 2.5¢ | $3 | — |
| werden0x0ccf…e9d6 | No | 3 | 97.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xcd0f…2154 | No | 2 | 95.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x46f7…0f92 | Yes | 207 | 0.9¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.51 per $100 · 2,566 bets |
| 0x544e…86dc | Yes | 200 | 3.0¢ | $2 | — |
| viso990xa623…384f | Yes | 200 | 1.6¢ | $2 | — |
| dinosaurx0xd280…0d07 | No | 2 | 99.1¢ | $2 | — |
| C0ssmicVoyager0x4c78…6818 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| InfiniiteHorizon0x0431…1af9 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| CrysttalCasscade0x0d3d…1880 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| AzuureSerenity0x20ed…223e | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| S0llarFlare0x271e…b975 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| flyh1gher0x332e…0ae6 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| s0lar1st0x4590…932e | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Electric4Each0x67a6…04e8 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| lukecryptowalker0x9024…8ea4 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| richalanforlife0x9414…8947 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x9fee…d292 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| harv3ster0xd06b…823a | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| creativeM1nd0xe272…aed2 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| MiddnightWanderer0xe759…cf83 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Shadd0wWalker0xff2f…c2c2 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 129 | 4.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa986…30f6 | Yes | 120 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 119 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| owla0x0517…d513 | Yes | 100 | 2.7¢ | $1 | — |
| LTTS0xd936…8318 | Yes | 100 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Lamegawi0xb0e1…0fa0 | Yes | 88 | 8.4¢ | $1 | — |
| akhk12450xca60…310d | Yes | 70 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 15 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.