Market · 6 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| upont0xaac2…e8ce | No | 10,926 | 99.4¢ | $10.9K | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 1,393 bets |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | No | 2,422 | 98.8¢ | $2.42K | — |
| onekey020xfaf9…f4c4 | No | 1,810 | 99.8¢ | $1.81K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 441 bets |
| beatyesterday0x7789…a280 | No | 557 | 98.4¢ | $556 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 1,244 bets |
| elonmuskno10x0a63…06f7 | No | 552 | 99.7¢ | $551 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 464 | 99.0¢ | $463 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,840 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 89 overlapping windows · 8 events · $704K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.