Market · 3 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| zlfi0x9a56…fbdc | No | 3,404 | 97.1¢ | $3.35K | — |
| 0x913f…c676 | No | 633 | 93.4¢ | $622 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 541 |
| 91.4¢ |
| $531 |
| — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 479 | 97.6¢ | $471 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,842 bets |
| thisissocool110xecef…75fa | No | 445 | 98.9¢ | $438 | — |
| icariam060x9592…a8fd | No | 222 | 98.4¢ | $218 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 89 shares each side · Show
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Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $717K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.