Market · 3 of 9 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares |
|---|
| Bought at |
|---|
| Worth now |
|---|
| Record |
|---|
| Kurumi.chan.0x9a3f…b772 | No | 1,000 | 99.4¢ | $997 | — |
| 0x913f…c676 | No | 633 | 93.4¢ | $631 | — |
| thisissocool110xecef…75fa | No | 580 | 98.6¢ | $578 | — |
| fishpapav0x9cea…a932 | No | 541 | 91.4¢ | $539 | — |
| lannnn0x1bbe…f8b0 | No | 200 | 98.0¢ | $199 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,107 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 160 | 95.9¢ | $160 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| Eucadet0xbd6e…b651 | No | 156 | 96.2¢ | $156 | — |
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 150 | 92.0¢ | $150 | — |
| SupercubPA180x19a4…fa7a | No | 146 | 81.8¢ | $145 | Break-even−$0.61 per $100 · 416 bets |
| RootWoot0x4d06…b2ea | No | 113 | 89.3¢ | $112 | — |
| Iryna2k0x6da8…ec45 | No | 107 | 93.5¢ | $107 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $100 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,845 bets |
| yixiao880x1287…85ad | No | 100 | 90.0¢ | $100 | — |
| 0xec25…dec6 | No | 100 | 98.9¢ | $100 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $100 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | No | 82 | 99.6¢ | $82 | — |
| exponentially0xa2d7…e3b7 | No | 63 | 82.4¢ | $63 | — |
| howi-10x1de4…070a | No | 52 | 97.2¢ | $52 | — |
| drdoom210x75b0…63c6 | No | 45 | 88.5¢ | $45 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 41 | 97.1¢ | $41 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| underwaterdruid0x73e0…e538 | No | 31 | 97.2¢ | $31 | — |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 9,574 | 7.0¢ | $29 | — |
| black45620x9242…a140 | No | 26 | 95.0¢ | $26 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 8,055 | 11.8¢ | $24 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
| WilliamNorman1300xd757…35a3 | No | 23 | 99.7¢ | $23 | — |
| sanlitouP20x1d27…7e73 | No | 20 | 97.2¢ | $20 | — |
| tsklee0x8cef…6b6d | No | 17 | 99.1¢ | $17 | — |
| FenceStradler0xb6db…e8a7 | No | 17 | 98.0¢ | $17 | — |
| dafa180xb6ae…abe3 | No | 16 | 91.4¢ | $16 | — |
| liq20x3423…fe57 | No | 16 | 96.2¢ | $16 | — |
| aaronyi09170x98fe…a726 | No | 14 | 98.0¢ | $14 | — |
| welcometowinnercircle0x88b2…e1d1 | Yes | 4,591 | 12.5¢ | $14 | Losing−$1.67 per $100 · 299 bets |
| dafa110x3b87…d3f5 | No | 14 | 81.8¢ | $14 | — |
| dafa160xb552…1064 | No | 13 | 92.4¢ | $13 | — |
| dafa120xbc2b…5b98 | No | 12 | 81.8¢ | $12 | — |
| dadsgbe0x727d…e9b1 | No | 12 | 90.4¢ | $12 | — |
| dafaue5ss0xf5ee…e613 | No | 12 | 91.4¢ | $12 | — |
| dafa210x192e…0591 | No | 12 | 92.4¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xb6eb…1f59 | No | 11 | 88.4¢ | $11 | — |
| xTriple70xec6f…b34f | No | 11 | 94.5¢ | $11 | — |
| forg0tten0x186a…e382 | No | 11 | 96.1¢ | $11 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 92.3¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,249 bets |
| Balfang0x58b9…e3ca | No | 10 | 84.0¢ | $10 | — |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 93.5¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.83 per $100 · 2,915 bets |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 2,890 | 5.1¢ | $9 | — |
| LuOpDip0x0479…6422 | Yes | 1,983 | 11.1¢ | $6 | — |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | No | 6 | 94.3¢ | $6 | — |
| mmyy160xa094…bdeb | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xca0c…b9b6 | No | 5 | 97.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 1,632 | 5.6¢ | $5 | — |
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | 1,200 | 2.5¢ | $4 | — |
| InsideR50x17f1…0528 | Yes | 1,076 | 4.4¢ | $3 | — |
| buzzx0x1786…9f72 | No | 3 | 81.8¢ | $3 | — |
| stompychan0x79cb…331e | Yes | 1,025 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.29 per $100 · 29,372+ bets · updating |
| yangleduoduo0xe243…af59 | Yes | 1,000 | 1.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Mr-Lucker0xaee7…37fe | Yes | 1,000 | 16.2¢ | $3 | — |
| exp7incher0x29b5…a992 | Yes | 700 | 5.6¢ | $2 | — |
| tsddd0xf961…34dd | No | 2 | 95.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 7,594 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 604 | 5.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| oiisparahaa0xe1f0…25d2 | Yes | 602 | 2.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Kamenshyk220x93fd…7e2f | Yes | 600 | 10.3¢ | $2 | — |
| ElonSimp0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | 514 | 2.3¢ | $2 | — |
| broitsravi0x7413…4b09 | Yes | 509 | 5.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Feracios0xb816…9e90 | Yes | 500 | 11.1¢ | $2 | — |
| yggNB0xb7e5…a7b8 | No | 1 | 93.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Mommy0070xdc36…8542 | Yes | 406 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Romeo0050x146d…17c7 | Yes | 400 | 1.9¢ | $1 | — |
| LuckyMANNN0x59a1…a8d1 | Yes | 360 | 3.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6beb…2773 | Yes | 349 | 3.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Gemini130x4381…6bd6 | Yes | 304 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| SupremeGambler0xf2bf…66c7 | Yes | 254 | 3.5¢ | $1 | — |
| redstar19870x9ffa…c8fc | Yes | 225 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 2,922 bets |
| bbynepo0x37b6…661f | Yes | 201 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420240x391d…def1 | Yes | 151 | 5.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 9,815 bets |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 149 | 8.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Shampooo0x032a…cf07 | Yes | 135 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$45.41 per $100 · 1,604 bets |
| Oboltusova0xfb2b…cadf | Yes | 108 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| JoyL0x0862…9a02 | Yes | 106 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 80 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| antiluci0x6f2f…9602 | Yes | 77 | 6.8¢ | $0 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 70 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | Yes | 69 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| SigmaFreund0x4123…6730 | Yes | 63 | 6.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 63 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 60 | 8.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| Boycrrypt0x7b3b…6453 | Yes | 51 | 6.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x13e4…d532 | Yes | 50 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| zenef30x9645…81ee | Yes | 50 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Cabjez0xf829…0688 | Yes | 50 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Breadwinner1110x652e…4a94 | Yes | 44 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| RickRockRick0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | 35 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| xibazaizi0xd487…ddd9 | Yes | 33 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdce0…2daf | Yes | 32 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 99 shares each side · Show
| |||||
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.