Market · 6 of 9 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| upont0xaac2…e8ce | No | 16,000 | 99.4¢ | $16K | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 1,393 bets |
| onekey020xfaf9…f4c4 | No | 15,000 | 99.9¢ | $15K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 441 bets |
| carboyant0xe6c6…77b7 | No | 1,659 | 99.8¢ | $1.66K | — |
| LeJoeBot0xd677…1cfd | No | 85 | 99.7¢ | $85 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 40 | 99.1¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 3123210xa898…9db3 | No | 20 | 99.4¢ | $20 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.