Market · 6 of 9 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| upont0xaac2…e8ce | No | 16,000 | 99.4¢ | $16K | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 1,405 bets |
| onekey020xfaf9…f4c4 | No | 15,000 | 99.9¢ | $15K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 441 bets |
| carboyant0xe6c6…77b7 | No | 1,659 | 99.8¢ | $1.66K | — |
| LeJoeBot0xd677…1cfd | No | 85 | 99.7¢ | $85 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 40 | 99.1¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 3123210xa898…9db3 | No | 20 | 99.4¢ | $20 | — |
| PascalFirth0x662b…9421 | No | 19 | 99.9¢ | $19 | — |
| IcarusReed0x9f68…ab1c | No | 19 | 99.9¢ | $19 | — |
| OrlaWilde0xab1f…53fe | No | 19 | 99.9¢ | $19 | — |
| UlyssesWilde0xd25e…111f | No | 19 | 99.9¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x9d8a…1f2e | No | 18 | 99.8¢ | $18 | — |
| YsoldeHart0x080c…d33c | No | 18 | 99.9¢ | $18 | — |
| RuneBlakely0x33ab…e8fe | No | 18 | 99.9¢ | $18 | — |
| QuinlanStarling0x4a50…bba3 | No | 18 | 99.9¢ | $18 | — |
| CalistaMorrow0x625f…89f0 | No | 18 | 99.9¢ | $18 | — |
| DamarisField0x287d…afb8 | No | 17 | 99.9¢ | $17 | — |
| UrsulaHawke0xc12d…82e6 | No | 17 | 99.9¢ | $17 | — |
| PippaRae0xddb4…c77c | No | 17 | 99.9¢ | $17 | — |
| SableRivers0xe36e…ec2d | No | 17 | 99.9¢ | $17 | — |
| QuillonHunt0xd678…0f2e | No | 16 | 99.9¢ | $16 | — |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 23,389 | 0.6¢ | $12 | — |
| baikong0xe19a…a07f | No | 10 | 98.6¢ | $10 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 15,510 | 0.2¢ | $8 | — |
| uo99980x0b05…8983 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| SDVC30x0edb…6cb9 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFHG40x15eb…980d | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFBVE0x1c50…b4c7 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| CRE40x1c7f…5377 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GFDBVC0x3635…a429 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| FD550x3f4f…5706 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| RDS320x406b…e7f3 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GFD40x4d12…728b | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 5RE40x4efd…d195 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GERTVT430x5053…0bdf | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| GFDY40x5312…6797 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| VB530x5468…a902 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFERT40x5862…792a | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| CVB40x5984…fda9 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DCBE0x59ae…6408 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| CVT340x5ee4…de03 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| EDFD30x6961…be88 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GF450x70ce…c0b0 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | No | 5 | 98.6¢ | $5 | — |
| HG54E0x760d…35ab | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFTD0x7726…1620 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFE34G0x7a6d…3a8c | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GHF30x82b9…18f1 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| SDBV40x8438…82d2 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GFVGT430x8599…da77 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| DFEERT0x87dd…40b7 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| D43T0x87ec…866f | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| EREW30x8962…f0ae | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 8,705 | 7.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 2,223 bets |
| welcometowinnercircle0x88b2…e1d1 | Yes | 4,591 | 12.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.67 per $100 · 299 bets |
| InsideR50x17f1…0528 | Yes | 3,650 | 5.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 3,500 | 5.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $2 | — |
| stompychan0x79cb…331e | Yes | 1,500 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 39,976 bets |
| Badekarret0xe343…23fd | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 993 | 8.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,694 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 702 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.76 per $100 · 71,440+ bets · updating |
| exp7incher0x29b5…a992 | Yes | 700 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 596 | 9.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.95 per $100 · 18,818 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 439 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 360 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 353 | 12.5¢ | $0 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 300 | 11.1¢ | $0 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 263 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 249 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 247 | 10.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mel270x6afe…f266 | Yes | 244 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 244 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,452 bets |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 183 | 9.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Huye1680x4ae7…561f | Yes | 161 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$19.58 per $100 · 1,654 bets |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 142 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 3,807 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 139 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.13 per $100 · 58,633+ bets · updating |
| liq20x3423…fe57 | Yes | 116 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 116 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 104 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
| Qatalyst0x65f7…86dd | Yes | 100 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 82 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| lin202610x3a22…7407 | Yes | 71 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$35.67 per $100 · 274 bets |
| akla270x5993…a32d | Yes | 71 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$37.53 per $100 · 318 bets |
| zerone7770xe949…dea6 | Yes | 71 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$36.27 per $100 · 616 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 60 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Likaseent0x227f…a574 | Yes | 56 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| kaxel780xc1b5…5d85 | Yes | 54 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| akroll0x8bac…35ca | Yes | 52 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0bdb…baca | Yes | 36 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| coolibin0x55c1…7db6 | Yes | 30 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$29.26 per $100 · 245 bets |
| xamel270x242c…fbe8 | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$38.72 per $100 · 154 bets |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 10.8¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 20 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Sell.Max0xc13d…4bda | Yes | 18 | 10.6¢ | $0 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 15 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | Yes | 12 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| kaliom0x1425…d60d | Yes | 9 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| wwder0x3424…5d5e | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| gogogo-v30x8c17…9098 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.