Market · 8 of 12 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
These 12 outcomes add up to 103.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 89 overlapping windows · 8 events · $687K in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf14e…6173 | No | 3,400 | 89.2¢ | $3.37K | — |
| 0xb307…c802 | No | 672 | 90.7¢ | $666 | — |
| AestusValueLab0xe370…58f2 | No | 586 | 98.5¢ | $581 | — |
| icariam060x9592…a8fd | No | 400 | 95.2¢ | $397 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 378 | 98.6¢ | $375 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,836 bets |
| captainzhang0xc8f0…835c | No | 313 | 96.1¢ | $310 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.