Market · 6 of 11 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 11 outcomes add up to 101.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AndreaPirlo0x09b4…e56d | No | 3,721 | 95.3¢ | $3.64K | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 618 | 95.4¢ | $605 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,838 bets |
| BernandoNaty0xfab3…dee0 | No | 300 | 93.5¢ | $294 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 10,256 | 6.5¢ | $220 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 8,406 | 2.6¢ | $181 | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 6,555 | 2.0¢ | $141 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 15 shares each side · Show
| |||||
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 89 overlapping windows · 8 events · $704K in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.