Market · 6 of 11 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AndreaPirlo0x09b4…e56d | No | 3,721 | 95.3¢ | $3.65K | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 506 | 96.1¢ | $496 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,842 bets |
| BernandoNaty0xfab3…dee0 | No | 300 | 93.5¢ | $294 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 10,256 | 6.5¢ | $195 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 8,406 | 2.6¢ | $160 | — |
| Bennio0x06bb…9c66 | No | 140 | 97.8¢ | $137 | — |
| 0x6622…4535 | No | 133 | 95.4¢ | $130 | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 6,555 | 2.0¢ | $125 | — |
| yoyoyoyo-0x8fec…d9af | No | 122 | 93.9¢ | $120 | — |
| crvlo0xce26…f3e8 | Yes | 6,000 | 4.8¢ | $114 | — |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | No | 111 | 94.3¢ | $109 | — |
| ChunkyMonky0x8f66…b986 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $95 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 4,974 | 8.9¢ | $95 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 4,626 | 3.9¢ | $88 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 7,262 bets |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 4,000 | 2.0¢ | $76 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 4,032 bets |
| josediaz0xe396…dce1 | No | 70 | 93.9¢ | $69 | — |
| InsideR50x17f1…0528 | Yes | 3,502 | 2.7¢ | $67 | — |
| exponentially0xa2d7…e3b7 | No | 67 | 93.4¢ | $66 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 61 | 93.8¢ | $60 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 3.8¢ | $57 | — |
| hfe.as0x65ce…b90b | No | 50 | 94.7¢ | $49 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 2,500 | 3.3¢ | $47 | — |
| MilkTeaa0xd3ce…b432 | Yes | 2,457 | 3.6¢ | $47 | — |
| Fablurou0x3256…830c | Yes | 2,210 | 0.1¢ | $42 | — |
| CampruCali0x0404…4719 | No | 42 | 95.0¢ | $41 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 5,334 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 40 | 97.7¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 40 | 95.3¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| Rizh0x9255…6e3b | Yes | 2,000 | 1.0¢ | $38 | — |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 1,993 | 4.4¢ | $38 | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 1,962 | 2.1¢ | $37 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 32 | 97.9¢ | $31 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| sjoerdvdmack0xe53d…146c | Yes | 1,597 | 3.3¢ | $30 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.1¢ | $29 | — |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 1,365 | 5.9¢ | $26 | — |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | No | 26 | 95.2¢ | $26 | Losing−$4.46 per $100 · 1,422 bets |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 1,315 | 3.3¢ | $25 | — |
| Blueynbingo0x52aa…42a2 | No | 21 | 97.0¢ | $20 | — |
| bahn-cuon-baby0x5cdc…1f6b | No | 21 | 97.1¢ | $20 | — |
| LordYeah0xfd07…6bb7 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $19 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 802 | 3.5¢ | $15 | — |
| hoomanlover0xd661…0d4e | Yes | 779 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| Playpool0xd628…a698 | No | 15 | 95.4¢ | $14 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 700 | 4.2¢ | $13 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 8,496 bets |
| Ecnanif0x2a79…e2af | Yes | 700 | 3.7¢ | $13 | — |
| Mr-Lucker0xaee7…37fe | Yes | 650 | 5.3¢ | $12 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 621 | 3.8¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| magnetick0x01da…07be | Yes | 600 | 2.6¢ | $11 | — |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | Yes | 555 | 3.9¢ | $11 | — |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 525 | 4.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| baikong0xe19a…a07f | No | 10 | 95.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x9a9b…644f | Yes | 515 | 4.2¢ | $10 | — |
| Ruiziness0x306d…7a38 | Yes | 500 | 3.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x620b…9c9a | Yes | 500 | 3.8¢ | $10 | — |
| 212octopus0xbf8e…2f94 | Yes | 453 | 3.6¢ | $9 | — |
| b3t4t35t0xab18…467d | Yes | 446 | 2.6¢ | $8 | — |
| Oboltusova0xfb2b…cadf | Yes | 440 | 2.3¢ | $8 | — |
| Romeo0050x146d…17c7 | Yes | 410 | 1.8¢ | $8 | — |
| 123mohan0x3758…5c70 | Yes | 373 | 9.9¢ | $7 | — |
| REWTDSFgrdtd0xf2fd…48c2 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| rocky420060x85d5…bbf0 | Yes | 298 | 4.4¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xcd0f…2154 | No | 5 | 96.1¢ | $5 | — |
| ghghgghghghghhghghh8880xaa50…3ed5 | Yes | 259 | 4.4¢ | $5 | — |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 227 | 3.7¢ | $4 | — |
| mstrmnd.0x3d50…c26b | Yes | 223 | 2.0¢ | $4 | — |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | No | 4 | 91.3¢ | $4 | — |
| polenk0x12e0…d6f8 | Yes | 200 | 4.5¢ | $4 | — |
| mmmm123450xfa76…897e | Yes | 200 | 6.6¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xdce0…2daf | Yes | 190 | 3.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xa123…3fd6 | Yes | 178 | 4.2¢ | $3 | — |
| Destim0x9372…b267 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| orifcontex0xa002…e840 | Yes | 150 | 3.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x575b…31af | Yes | 143 | 9.3¢ | $3 | — |
| AspectOfNightmares0x9ed3…bc84 | Yes | 128 | 4.1¢ | $2 | — |
| CashReviver0x9c6f…8b32 | Yes | 107 | 5.8¢ | $2 | — |
| lovhotmail0x9435…68e3 | No | 1 | 91.8¢ | $1 | — |
| ganstta0xb049…e8d6 | No | 1 | 92.5¢ | $1 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | No | 0 | 98.1¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 10 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.