Market · 19 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 103.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| clggzz0x94c6…7a14 | No | 6,502 | 98.7¢ | $6.49K | — |
| LinabellAccountStolen0xe9ab…fc5f | No | 2,397 | 99.6¢ | $2.39K | — |
| Houdray0xddd8…e6f7 | No | 1,000 | 97.9¢ | $998 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 300 | 99.2¢ | $299 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,842 bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 155 | 98.4¢ | $155 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 120 | 98.3¢ | $120 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.