Market · 11 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 105.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 147 | 98.2¢ | $146 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,842 bets |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 12,546 | 1.8¢ | $132 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 |
| No |
| 120 |
| 99.8¢ |
| $119 |
| Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 100 | 98.4¢ | $99 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 5,405 | 3.9¢ | $57 | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $53 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 500 shares each side · Show
|
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.