Market · 4 of 23 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 9,330 | 4.4¢ | $1.26K | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 5,405 | 3.9¢ | $732 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x2ef2…7f72 |
| Yes |
| 5,000 |
| 2.0¢ |
| $678 |
| — |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $678 | — |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 4,000 | 2.0¢ | $542 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 4,032 bets |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 3,950 | 4.0¢ | $535 | — |
11 more outcomes in this event.
These 23 outcomes add up to 106.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 89 overlapping windows · 8 events · $704K in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.