Market · 8 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 104.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houdray0xddd8…e6f7 | No | 462 | 86.6¢ | $449 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 10,176 | 4.4¢ | $290 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $143 | — |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $143 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 145 | 96.6¢ | $141 | — |
| jooker20260x276a…d445 | No | 120 | 87.3¢ | $117 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.