Market · 10 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 103.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 217 | 98.2¢ | $213 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,842 bets |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 6,407 | 3.6¢ | $128 | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 120 | 99.8¢ | $118 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 5,747 | 2.3¢ | $115 | — |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 5,425 | 3.9¢ | $108 | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $100 | — |
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.