Market · 10 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 217 | 98.2¢ | $213 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,845 bets |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 6,407 | 3.6¢ | $138 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 5,747 | 2.3¢ | $124 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 120 | 99.8¢ | $117 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 5,425 | 3.9¢ | $117 | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $107 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 100 | 97.6¢ | $98 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 4,000 | 2.0¢ | $86 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 4,032 bets |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 3,950 | 4.0¢ | $85 | — |
| fhgjhk0xc6f7…373c | No | 75 | 98.9¢ | $73 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 2,546 | 3.8¢ | $55 | — |
| bnbmm0xebc4…cb08 | No | 53 | 98.9¢ | $52 | — |
| jhgkjghkl0xef7c…a412 | No | 48 | 97.5¢ | $47 | — |
| 66gkjgj0x49a9…d635 | No | 46 | 98.9¢ | $45 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 2,000 | 3.8¢ | $43 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 1,988 | 2.1¢ | $43 | — |
| 0x35b1…6a26 | No | 40 | 97.5¢ | $39 | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 1,600 | 2.0¢ | $34 | — |
| dklhjj0x8615…a60d | No | 34 | 98.7¢ | $33 | — |
| hirichzhou0x71f7…2e2e | Yes | 1,502 | 4.0¢ | $32 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 1,337 | 0.7¢ | $29 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 1,193 | 3.8¢ | $26 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 7,262 bets |
| Bil666El0x43ad…da98 | Yes | 1,072 | 5.0¢ | $23 | — |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | No | 23 | 96.8¢ | $23 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 23 | 97.2¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $22 | — |
| bahn-cuon-baby0x5cdc…1f6b | No | 21 | 95.3¢ | $21 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 900 | 3.9¢ | $19 | — |
| saragus0xf4d5…66e1 | Yes | 807 | 6.2¢ | $17 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 760 | 2.3¢ | $16 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| azimutp0xc793…02a9 | Yes | 760 | 2.7¢ | $16 | — |
| orifcontex0xa002…e840 | Yes | 600 | 0.7¢ | $13 | — |
| Fablurou0x3256…830c | Yes | 590 | 0.5¢ | $13 | — |
| TP19950xc575…38fd | Yes | 500 | 4.0¢ | $11 | — |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 446 | 2.5¢ | $10 | — |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | Yes | 374 | 0.8¢ | $8 | — |
| Ruiziness0x306d…7a38 | Yes | 300 | 2.1¢ | $6 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 295 | 4.3¢ | $6 | Losing−$6.83 per $100 · 218,207+ bets · updating |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 291 | 2.6¢ | $6 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 289 | 3.8¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 0x13e4…d532 | Yes | 255 | 2.9¢ | $5 | — |
| rocky420080x79dc…ca77 | Yes | 232 | 2.7¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| 0x96e00x96e0…b648 | No | 5 | 95.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x9901…5815 | Yes | 200 | 1.7¢ | $4 | — |
| LordYeah0xfd07…6bb7 | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | $4 | — |
| AspectOfNightmares0x9ed3…bc84 | Yes | 167 | 3.1¢ | $4 | — |
| 11110x280f…1963 | Yes | 160 | 2.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Boycrrypt0x7b3b…6453 | Yes | 150 | 3.8¢ | $3 | — |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | Yes | 149 | 3.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xa986…30f6 | Yes | 120 | 5.0¢ | $3 | — |
| akhk12450xca60…310d | Yes | 120 | 2.0¢ | $3 | — |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 118 | 4.5¢ | $3 | — |
| owla0x0517…d513 | Yes | 100 | 1.4¢ | $2 | — |
| cicci0x2816…c473 | Yes | 100 | 2.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x2d2d…21c1 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Melao0x48a3…bfec | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 100 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 8,496 bets |
| bbynepo0x37b6…661f | Yes | 81 | 3.2¢ | $2 | — |
| InfiniiteHorizon0x0431…1af9 | Yes | 80 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| CrysttalCasscade0x0d3d…1880 | Yes | 80 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| AzuureSerenity0x20ed…223e | Yes | 80 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| S0llarFlare0x271e…b975 | Yes | 80 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 0 | 97.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $717K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.