Market · 10 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | No | 100 | 99.8¢ | $100 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 7,262 bets |
| xzxz630x939d…d414 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| Abdyl0x9505…5110 | No | 10 | 99.0¢ | $10 | — |
| onekey020xfaf9…f4c4 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 441 bets |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 7 | 99.6¢ | $7 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 11,569 | 9.7¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $717K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.