Market · 1 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sazzaa0x12ed…c9b4 | Yes | 4,110 | 36.5¢ | $3.64K | — |
| dddtrips0x8565…0c43 | Yes | 3,626 | 42.7¢ | $3.21K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 3,500 |
| 5.6¢ |
| $3.1K |
| — |
| RickRockRick0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $2.65K | — |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $2.65K | — |
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | 2,201 | 34.4¢ | $1.95K | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 486 shares each side · Show
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Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $704K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.