Market · 8 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CakeBake0x9d80…fcaf | No | 5,000 | 99.9¢ | $5K | — |
| upont0xaac2…e8ce | No | 2,045 | 99.8¢ | $2.04K | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 1,393 bets |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | No | 50 | 99.9¢ | $50 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 7,262 bets |
| uo99980x0b05…8983 | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | — |
| FGH5450x12df…a21b | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| RT4650x2479…deed | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $717K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.