Market · 7 of 9 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CakeBake0x9d80…fcaf | No | 5,000 | 99.9¢ | $5K | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | No | 50 | 99.9¢ | $50 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 7,262 bets |
| uo99980x0b05…8983 | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | — |
| FGH5450x12df…a21b | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| RT4650x2479…deed | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2bcc…a218 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GHF5Y0x2c66…40a1 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 5 | 99.3¢ | $5 | — |
| wxcong0x38e8…db25 | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | — |
| HJBVVV60x457c…5e89 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| FGHV50x4889…439f | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GBVT430x51fb…7950 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| RTGFH54650x5a7a…95ee | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GBVT43TY0x5da5…56ac | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| HGFRT4650x9812…d115 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DVGRT4650x9eb5…90e5 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| oppppop0x9ee7…e901 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 653RT4650xa0df…b071 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| IOPOL0xa81b…9d44 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GFJHTR0xc4eb…3be6 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFG45560xcf09…cd17 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xd6aa…fc15 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 34RT4650xee02…fbe3 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| RT4FGH650xf391…8307 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GBVTD4550xfbaa…1869 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 9,614 | 9.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 8,835 | 0.3¢ | $4 | — |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 6,180 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| welcometowinnercircle0x88b2…e1d1 | Yes | 4,591 | 12.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.67 per $100 · 299 bets |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 2,520 | 5.6¢ | $1 | — |
| DASHUI0xc84e…13b8 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,063 | 8.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 758 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| exp7incher0x29b5…a992 | Yes | 700 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 668 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 63,331+ bets · updating |
| 7kent7770xdf8b…481e | Yes | 650 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| stompychan0x79cb…331e | Yes | 520 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.29 per $100 · 29,372+ bets · updating |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 500 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x90d7…5cb7 | Yes | 350 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 300 | 11.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 287 | 9.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 271 | 9.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 18,815 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 195 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| mel270x6afe…f266 | Yes | 186 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 183 | 9.9¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 162 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 152 | 10.3¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 150 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 142 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.63 per $100 · 3,766 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 104 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| Qatalyst0x65f7…86dd | Yes | 100 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 90 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 22,145 bets |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 90 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| lin202610x3a22…7407 | Yes | 71 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$35.67 per $100 · 274 bets |
| akla270x5993…a32d | Yes | 71 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$37.53 per $100 · 318 bets |
| zerone7770xe949…dea6 | Yes | 71 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$36.27 per $100 · 616 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 60 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Raline230x325b…f1ee | Yes | 40 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0bdb…baca | Yes | 36 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| xamel270x242c…fbe8 | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$38.72 per $100 · 154 bets |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 10.8¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 20 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Sell.Max0xc13d…4bda | Yes | 18 | 10.6¢ | $0 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 15 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| mmy260x19da…82aa | Yes | 12 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 11 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| kaliom0x1425…d60d | Yes | 9 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 5 | 4.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 5 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | Yes | 2 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.