Market · 4 of 9 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| upont0xaac2…e8ce | No | 1,835 | 99.2¢ | $1.83K | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 1,393 bets |
| 0x913f…c676 | No | 1,104 | 98.1¢ | $1.1K | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 708 | 97.5¢ | $708 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,846 bets |
| levosimendan0x93c7…f890 | No | 230 | 98.3¢ | $229 | — |
| 0x6622…4535 | No | 218 | 93.6¢ | $218 | — |
| lannnn0x1bbe…f8b0 | No | 213 | 97.7¢ | $213 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,107 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 10 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.