Market · 4 of 11 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
These 11 outcomes add up to 101.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 89 overlapping windows · 8 events · $704K in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 3 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf14e…6173 | No | 5,731 | 86.1¢ | $5.15K | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 10,045 | 10.5¢ | $1.02K | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 1,132 |
| 78.8¢ |
| $1.02K |
| — |
| sferfgefvrfgh12340x29e1…29f8 | No | 1,029 | 91.6¢ | $924 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 6,755 | 7.6¢ | $689 | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 6,555 | 2.0¢ | $669 | — |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 436 shares each side · Show
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