Market · 9 of 12 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 12 outcomes add up to 103.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 89 overlapping windows · 8 events · $687K in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 392 | 99.3¢ | $388 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,836 bets |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 13,403 | 1.7¢ | $114 | — |
| ChunkyMonky0x8f66…b986 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $43 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 4,086 | 1.1¢ | $35 | — |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 4,000 | 2.0¢ | $34 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 4,032 bets |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 3,978 | 3.8¢ | $34 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 7,262 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.