Market · 12 of 12 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
These 12 outcomes add up to 103.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 89 overlapping windows · 8 events · $687K in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baristas0x8b04…84da | No | 37,833 | 99.9¢ | $37.8K | — |
| Strarper0xd849…59d6 | No | 11,360 | 99.9¢ | $11.4K | — |
| tianjiyuyunzhilu0xc757…ccfc | No | 10,092 | 99.9¢ | $10.1K | — |
| zhenni0xade9…9ec3 | No | 6,277 | 99.7¢ | $6.27K | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | No | 5,000 | 99.8¢ | $5K | — |
| Donkolo0x43f0…1b3d | No | 4,472 | 99.9¢ | $4.47K | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 100 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.