Market · 10 of 11 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| onekey020xfaf9…f4c4 |
| No |
| 13,560 |
| 99.0¢ |
| $13.5K |
| Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 441 bets |
| carboyant0xe6c6…77b7 | No | 6,069 | 99.0¢ | $6.06K | — |
| Boss70x5409…79db | No | 4,918 | 99.9¢ | $4.91K | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 2,190 bets |
| momo-09160x36a9…c1d3 | No | 1,631 | 99.9¢ | $1.63K | — |
| JolyonAshkettle0xa924…0dec | No | 1,515 | 99.9¢ | $1.51K | — |
| 222Sera-phina920x51a2…6dc3 | No | 1,433 | 99.9¢ | $1.43K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.