Market · 5 of 11 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 11 outcomes add up to 103.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | No | 2,231 | 90.1¢ | $2.14K | Losing−$4.46 per $100 · 1,422 bets |
| icariam060x9592…a8fd | No | 500 | 93.8¢ | $480 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 10,598 | 6.6¢ | $424 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
| crvlo0xce26…f3e8 | Yes | 10,050 | 9.2¢ | $402 | — |
| yoyoyoyo-0x8fec…d9af | No | 364 | 92.6¢ | $350 | — |
| 0x6622…4535 | No | 288 | 93.5¢ | $277 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.