Market · 5 of 11 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | No | 2,231 | 90.1¢ | $2.18K | Losing−$4.46 per $100 · 1,422 bets |
| icariam060x9592…a8fd | No | 500 | 93.8¢ | $488 | — |
| yoyoyoyo-0x8fec…d9af | No | 364 | 92.6¢ | $355 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 324 | 98.1¢ | $316 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,845 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 314 | 95.2¢ | $307 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| 0x6622…4535 | No | 288 | 93.5¢ | $281 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 10,598 | 6.6¢ | $260 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
| Jason20250x3b27…0b98 | No | 254 | 92.7¢ | $248 | — |
| crvlo0xce26…f3e8 | Yes | 10,050 | 9.2¢ | $246 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 9,275 | 9.0¢ | $227 | — |
| BernandoNaty0xfab3…dee0 | No | 218 | 94.7¢ | $213 | — |
| rocky420060x85d5…bbf0 | No | 189 | 90.6¢ | $184 | — |
| fishpapav0x9cea…a932 | No | 176 | 92.6¢ | $171 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 172 | 94.8¢ | $168 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 6,555 | 2.0¢ | $161 | — |
| Eucadet0xbd6e…b651 | No | 153 | 98.1¢ | $149 | — |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 4,760 | 4.9¢ | $117 | — |
| black45620x9242…a140 | No | 119 | 94.5¢ | $116 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 4,525 | 3.7¢ | $111 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 7,262 bets |
| gtgtgtgtgtgt660xc725…df62 | No | 111 | 99.9¢ | $108 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 108 | 94.0¢ | $105 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 4,000 | 2.0¢ | $98 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 4,032 bets |
| Fablurou0x3256…830c | Yes | 3,203 | 0.2¢ | $78 | — |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 3.8¢ | $74 | — |
| liq20x3423…fe57 | No | 75 | 97.8¢ | $73 | — |
| CHAIN-19930x914b…e406 | No | 70 | 95.5¢ | $68 | — |
| exponentially0xa2d7…e3b7 | No | 64 | 92.7¢ | $62 | — |
| Blueynbingo0x52aa…42a2 | No | 63 | 95.0¢ | $62 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 2,500 | 3.3¢ | $61 | Losing−$6.67 per $100 · 2,990 bets |
| MilkTeaa0xd3ce…b432 | Yes | 2,457 | 3.6¢ | $60 | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 1,973 | 2.1¢ | $48 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 1,835 | 5.6¢ | $45 | — |
| sjoerdvdmack0xe53d…146c | Yes | 1,608 | 5.0¢ | $39 | — |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 1,572 | 2.5¢ | $39 | — |
| gedx0x6a74…3952 | No | 38 | 91.3¢ | $37 | — |
| InsideR50x17f1…0528 | Yes | 1,400 | 4.9¢ | $34 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 35 | 96.2¢ | $34 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xdaa8…4e89 | No | 34 | 90.5¢ | $33 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 1,200 | 5.8¢ | $29 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 8,496 bets |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 1,093 | 0.1¢ | $27 | — |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | Yes | 1,001 | 6.0¢ | $25 | — |
| ChunkyMonky0x8f66…b986 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $25 | — |
| LordYeah0xfd07…6bb7 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $25 | — |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 962 | 8.3¢ | $24 | — |
| azimutp0xc793…02a9 | Yes | 945 | 2.2¢ | $23 | — |
| DKNY19540x879d…b501 | Yes | 939 | 3.0¢ | $23 | — |
| Deus1180x04eb…1ab3 | Yes | 900 | 7.2¢ | $22 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 22 | 97.4¢ | $21 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 828 | 5.0¢ | $20 | — |
| bahn-cuon-baby0x5cdc…1f6b | No | 21 | 97.1¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xC3DR1C4bE2A9f85c7D93e94b1Fa620C7359E819A0x724c…60ba | Yes | 804 | 10.1¢ | $20 | — |
| werden0x0ccf…e9d6 | No | 20 | 95.5¢ | $20 | — |
| 897xcx0x075e…0798 | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | $20 | — |
| Mr-Lucker0xaee7…37fe | Yes | 750 | 8.0¢ | $18 | — |
| Ecnanif0x2a79…e2af | Yes | 700 | 3.7¢ | $17 | — |
| Romeo0050x146d…17c7 | Yes | 698 | 3.1¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x11cd…03e8 | No | 16 | 93.2¢ | $16 | — |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 636 | 6.4¢ | $16 | — |
| forg0tten0x186a…e382 | No | 16 | 94.2¢ | $16 | — |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | Yes | 619 | 3.9¢ | $15 | — |
| xxcx90x32c7…8611 | No | 15 | 99.9¢ | $15 | — |
| wakshca0xba1a…c091 | No | 14 | 92.7¢ | $14 | — |
| b3t4t35t0xab18…467d | Yes | 553 | 5.3¢ | $14 | — |
| MayaviQ0xa14d…2563 | Yes | 505 | 5.8¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x620b…9c9a | Yes | 500 | 4.7¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x4487…658e | No | 12 | 91.4¢ | $12 | — |
| dafa210x192e…0591 | No | 12 | 92.7¢ | $12 | — |
| 212octopus0xbf8e…2f94 | Yes | 453 | 3.6¢ | $11 | — |
| Ruiziness0x306d…7a38 | Yes | 450 | 6.2¢ | $11 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 443 | 9.4¢ | $11 | Losing−$7.08 per $100 · 225,331+ bets · updating |
| dafa160xb552…1064 | No | 11 | 93.4¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x5c19…d74d | Yes | 426 | 2.6¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xfe8a…f604 | No | 10 | 95.5¢ | $10 | — |
| Eglunnd0xad9f…9971 | Yes | 413 | 6.3¢ | $10 | — |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | Yes | 411 | 3.2¢ | $10 | — |
| Mommy0070xdc36…8542 | Yes | 408 | 9.5¢ | $10 | — |
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | 400 | 6.0¢ | $10 | — |
| baikong0xe19a…a07f | No | 10 | 92.8¢ | $10 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 10 | 95.4¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| 123mohan0x3758…5c70 | Yes | 373 | 9.9¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x90d7…5cb7 | Yes | 350 | 4.2¢ | $9 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 341 | 3.8¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,396 bets |
| polenk0x12e0…d6f8 | Yes | 329 | 7.4¢ | $8 | — |
| magnetick0x01da…07be | Yes | 230 | 4.2¢ | $6 | — |
| ghghgghghghghhghghh8880xaa50…3ed5 | Yes | 229 | 5.5¢ | $6 | — |
| dollarcat0xee60…9c89 | Yes | 227 | 4.6¢ | $6 | — |
| pupailupa0x2a9a…10ff | No | 5 | 96.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 675 bets |
| CashReviver0x9c6f…8b32 | Yes | 206 | 5.2¢ | $5 | — |
| cjie18880x628c…8692 | No | 5 | 90.4¢ | $5 | — |
| donkeyKong0xeb11…99e4 | No | 2 | 93.2¢ | $2 | — |
| lovhotmail0x9435…68e3 | No | 1 | 93.6¢ | $1 | — |
| google0030x8fc2…78bb | No | 1 | 96.2¢ | $1 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 20 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.47 per $100 · 49,814+ bets · updating |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 0 | 90.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 98.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcd0f…2154 | Yes | 0 | 8.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.