Market
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $831K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf14e…6173 | No | 7,331 | 86.9¢ | $7.33K | — |
| chuanqian0x9307…8910 | No | 388 | 86.9¢ | $388 | — |
| rocky420060x85d5…bbf0 | No | 228 | 92.1¢ | $228 | — |
| 0xb307…c802 | No | 225 | 90.3¢ | $225 | — |
| 0xe7ea…6f57 | No | 132 | 91.1¢ | $132 | — |
| 0x41c7…7222 | No | 115 | 87.5¢ | $115 | — |
| RATHMA40xf9ac…806e | No | 100 | 90.0¢ | $100 | — |
| 0xdaa8…4e89 | No | 35 | 88.4¢ | $35 | — |
| 0x04e0…d429 | No | 32 | 80.5¢ | $32 | — |
| swd20260xa124…6816 | No | 13 | 80.4¢ | $13 | — |
| Mirthwoodc0x937c…2d35 | No | 10 | 79.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Lucindagail0x3ca3…45b2 | No | 10 | 80.2¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x084f…737e | No | 9 | 91.0¢ | $9 | — |
| donkeyKong0xeb11…99e4 | No | 2 | 92.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x2787…002a | No | 2 | 94.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x2ca1…b440 | No | 1 | 79.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1f32…e9d5 | No | 1 | 79.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3fba…e72f | No | 1 | 79.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8ae0…04d0 | No | 1 | 79.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9020…c77b | No | 1 | 79.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3bce…853a | No | 1 | 80.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc97b…82ef | No | 1 | 80.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8d87…96a7 | No | 1 | 80.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x171c…d929 | No | 1 | 80.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5949…90e5 | No | 1 | 80.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x88ff…1d8b | No | 1 | 80.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa430…93d9 | No | 1 | 80.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe586…067f | No | 1 | 80.8¢ | $1 | — |
| ElonSimp0xfbcb…bb5d | No | 1 | 98.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x10e5…b7f1 | No | 0 | 94.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 0 | 90.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| 0x5734…06ba | No | 0 | 93.8¢ | $0 | — |
| spirited01270x4aea…faae | No | 0 | 91.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 1,798 bets |
| prose01280xc78d…87eb | No | 0 | 94.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x27e7…2680 | No | 0 | 93.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaae4…aa62 | No | 0 | 95.1¢ | $0 | — |
| touxie0x9a03…86dc | No | 0 | 92.8¢ | $0 | — |
| pioneers20260xa5c7…7e7b | No | 0 | 91.4¢ | $0 | — |
| sportsmarketimbalance0xec35…1d90 | No | 0 | 90.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.31 per $100 · 3,138 bets |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 0 | 80.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 91.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 63,332 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 11,681 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 4,037 bets |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 11,103 | 8.6¢ | $0 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 10,045 | 10.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 2,223 bets |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 7,620 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 6,555 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 4,996 | 5.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| Gustav4-10x1396…3ae6 | Yes | 4,207 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 3,700 | 4.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.67 per $100 · 2,990 bets |
| hirichzhou0x71f7…2e2e | Yes | 3,003 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| LazyWanker0xbac4…1ab2 | Yes | 2,500 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| hulitest20250xe559…1300 | Yes | 2,482 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| MilkTeaa0xd3ce…b432 | Yes | 2,457 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| sdfsd2130xf06d…26f7 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 2,000 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 1,885 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| AndreaPirlo0x09b4…e56d | Yes | 1,762 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 1,627 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| sjoerdvdmack0xe53d…146c | Yes | 1,615 | 13.6¢ | $0 | — |
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | 1,558 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Mr-Lucker0xaee7…37fe | Yes | 1,250 | 10.8¢ | $0 | — |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | Yes | 1,138 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 1,111 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$60.07 per $100 · 7,844 bets |
| Mommy0070xdc36…8542 | Yes | 1,102 | 12.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Trader1200x3de6…e560 | Yes | 1,000 | 9.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.33 per $100 · 27,167 bets |
| Rizh0x9255…6e3b | Yes | 1,000 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jsjsnxxn0xe122…0b62 | Yes | 998 | 8.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Papuasus0x9034…4375 | Yes | 950 | 10.8¢ | $0 | — |
| ShibakuRL0xb98d…5a68 | Yes | 948 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| txp111.0xaa7e…0332 | Yes | 900 | 4.7¢ | $0 | — |
| mmmm123450xfa76…897e | Yes | 899 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 869 | 9.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,124 bets |
| JumpLi0x45b8…2204 | Yes | 846 | 7.5¢ | $0 | — |
| bbccJ0x828e…c21b | Yes | 824 | 6.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Panopticon0070x07cf…a9fa | Yes | 816 | 11.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.68 per $100 · 1,872 bets |
| Romeo0050x146d…17c7 | Yes | 800 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Lastworld130x0c18…a04c | Yes | 793 | 10.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$20.23 per $100 · 426 bets |
| AM96910xc959…c37f | Yes | 718 | 11.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf452…8ff9 | Yes | 700 | 9.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Ecnanif0x2a79…e2af | Yes | 700 | 17.9¢ | $0 | — |
| exp7incher0x29b5…a992 | Yes | 700 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Kurumi.chan.0x9a3f…b772 | Yes | 600 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| orifcontex0xa002…e840 | Yes | 600 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| liq20x3423…fe57 | Yes | 595 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| E10ESpoascknasjdhajdDas12t0x6cfe…86a0 | Yes | 550 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| dukies0xdd68…0261 | Yes | 514 | 9.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2d2d…21c1 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| zalozhen0x186c…1d32 | Yes | 500 | 21.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Kalkay110x6a1b…fbbd | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 230 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 100 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 65 | 3.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Poligarch0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | 23 | 4.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 60,365+ bets · updating |
| 0xcd0f…2154 | Yes | 16 | 7.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xde8e…ae14 | Yes | 3 | 23.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 0 | 8.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 300 shares each side · Show
| |||||
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.