Market · 4 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 10 outcomes add up to 103.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf14e…6173 | No | 3,820 | 91.7¢ | $3.78K | — |
| 0x172d…0294 | No | 2,150 | 91.5¢ | $2.13K | — |
| touxie0x9a03…86dc | No | 1,110 | 91.3¢ | $1.1K | — |
| 0xdd16…901e | No | 1,088 | 92.5¢ | $1.08K | — |
| 0xa72b…1ad7 | No | 800 | 91.5¢ | $791 | — |
| 0xfffa…b631 | No | 630 | 91.0¢ | $623 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $816K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.